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Jan 31
Pre-Primary Florida Analysis: Latinos, and Seniors, and Women, Oh My
After an upset loss to Gingrich, thanks largely to weak debate performances in South Carolina, don’t expect Romney to drop the ball in Florida. It’s the biggest state up to this point, but Florida was part of a bloc of states that were penalized by the RNC for moving their primaries earlier.

The following states lost/will lose half their delegates: New Hampshire (from 23 to 12), South Carolina (from 50 to 25), Florida (from 99 to 50), Arizona (from 58 to 29), and Michigan (from 59 to 30). Iowa kept their full delegation (28), as will Nevada (28), Maine (24), Colorado (37), Minnesota (50), Missouri (52), and Washington (43). Those are all the states leading up to Super Tuesday.

Florida will be a study in demographics. As well as being the biggest state in the race until Texas’ primary on April 3rd, Florida is arguably the most diverse voter population thus far. While there has been considerable attention given to the Latino vote, this is a closed primary, and Latinos are not traditionally registered as Republican.

While the Latino vote is worth considering, I think the important group to go after will be seniors and women, which are actually linked in Florida. Because women have a longer life expectancy, and Florida is full of retirees, there’s a lot of older women expected to hit the polls Tuesday. This bodes well for Romney, who is notably well liked among women, more than the other candidates (especially Gingrich).

Gingrich also had weak, often unfocused performances at the post-South Carolina debates. It’s looking like Gingrich will still take second place, but it wouldn’t surprise me if Santorum nips at his heels or even overtakes him.

A second place finish for Santorum just might provide him the momentum to stay in the race longer than he ever should have. Santorum is basically running on fumes, and his very presence in the race serves only to split the neoconservative vote with Gingrich. A poor showing in Florida (which he is projected to experience) may be the nail in his campaign’s coffin.

Some analysts are also picking Paul to have a good showing, so long as the historically unreliable youth/college vote experiences good turnout (he will benefit from this later date, compared to South Carolina’s primary, when many colleges were still out for Winter break). Paul has largely ignored Florida, wisely citing the delegate penalty and the sheer cost of trying to compete in a race as large and expensive as Florida. He has primarily focused on upcoming races in Nevada and Minnesota, but he is also expected to perform well in Maine.

The biggest story is not so much who will win Florida, but how will the survivors continue? Gingrich and Romney have run nasty campaigns, and while Romney is still likely to be the nominee, it’s hard to believe he will come out of this race for the nomination as popular as he was going on… and this is Romney we’re talking about.

Romney was so universally unappealing, everyone from Trump to Palin to Perry to Bachman to Cain to Santorum has spent a moment in the limelight as the “ideal” opponent to supplant the bitter medicine that is Mitt Romney. Romney needs a spoonful of sugar to make his campaign palatable at this point, and a solid VP pick may be just the trick .

Even if he makes all the right moves from here on out, Romney will have a tough, uphill climb to overtake an incumbent Obama, who has more money for propaganda advertising. I’ve already seen Obama commercials on TV, and my wife has seen banner ads on websites. I live in a swing state, so I’m just now getting a small taste of the crap people in South Carolina and Florida have dealt with.

Is it November yet?
Jan 31
Does a Chinese Boy Really have Nightvision Eyes?
Well, no. But so many people seem to be taking this seriously that I felt the need to make a skeptical commentary on society’s desire for mutants (and the lack of skepticism in memes): Alien Mutant Hybrid Has Super Cat Eyes That Glow In The Dark
Jan 31
An Inoffensive Atheist Ad Could Appear on Pennsylvania Buses
After posting about the potential reactions to inoffensive atheist billboards, people are starting to run with the idea. When Justin Vacula recently saw �God Bless America� scrolling across the outside buses in Lackawanna ...
Jan 30
Who Are the Atheists in Indonesia? – Jakarta Globe

Who Are the Atheists in Indonesia?
Jakarta Globe
Alexander, who also administered an atheist group on the social networking site, declared that he does not believe in angels, devils, heaven and hell or other “myths.” I don't know if Alex has done anything more to justify his arrest, but the incident ...

Jan 30
Marketing atheism to the Twin Cities – Minnesota Daily

Marketing atheism to the Twin Cities
Minnesota Daily
By Eric Best As recently as last Monday, billboard advertisements from the Minnesota Atheists organization have been popping up all over Minneapolis, including right off campus in the Warehouse District. The billboards feature a baby talking to its ...

Jan 30
Religious Liberties
Mano Singham has posted a concise opinion on religious organizations operating secular enterprises.
Jan 30
Atheist clergymen and belief in belief – Helen De Cruz – international
A while ago, Dan Sperber blogged about research by Daniel Dennett and Linda LaScola on atheist clergymen. Their paper, which is available in open access here, provides a fascinating qualitative study on atheist clergymen ...
Jan 30
Atheist teen stands behind her position after school prayer banner taken down – Catholic Online

Daily Mail

Atheist teen stands behind her position after school prayer banner taken down
Catholic Online
Ahlquist, an atheist who was raised as a Roman Catholic but has obviously rejected the faith, was not the first to take issue with the presence of the 49-year-old banner. According to The New York Times, a family filed a complaint with the American ...
Atheist teen still getting threats over campaign to remove prayer banner while ...Daily Mail
Teen atheist Jessica Ahlquist wins prayer lawsuit against high school (VIDEO)newjerseynewsroom.com
Atheist Teen Still Subject of Threats; Won't Switch SchoolsGather.com
Minaret -New York Times -Newser
all 37 news articles »
Jan 30
De Botton plans temple of atheism

Alain de Botton, author of The Architecture of Happiness , is proposing a 151 ft.

Jan 30
The Fourth Branch of Government
When I was in school, I learned how the government works. As it turns out, the government doesn’t work, and I have a sneaking suspicion it has something to do with the parts of government I was never told about as a child.

As far as I can tell, the main thing I was never taught was that there is a fourth branch of government, called the Lobby. They play an important role in how America doesn’t work.

For one thing, the Lobby writes the laws. I used to think the Legislation did this, but as it turns out, they don’t. Writing laws is work, and legislators aren’t paid enough to actually care. So, they have lobbyists do this job for them. So really, the Lobby writes the laws, and then the Legislation votes on whether to enact that law.

Except… if there’s one thing harder than writing, it’s thinking. So, to save the Legislation from having to think, lobbyists tell legislators how to vote. This is done based on a complex system of “donations” (known in other industries as “bribes”).

At this point, you might be thinking to yourself, “We need to elect people who will represent us, not lobbyists!” You adorable, stupid little citizen. No matter who you elect, they will be bought, and if they somehow can’t be bought, their opponent in the next election will magically find the financial support necessary to destroy anyone who might follow the wishes of voters over lobbyists.

In fact, the whole election system is very much dependent upon lobbyists and the wealthy interests behind them. Every elected official depends upon the millions of dollars of support from private, wealthy individuals, because wealthy people matter more than the rest of us and what they have to say matters more. Rich people are just better than we are… that’s why they’re rich. We should all just shut up and do whatever they want, because it will be much easier for all of us if we just play along.

Even those who have no need for re-election still rely upon the Lobby. The Supreme Court is a life appointment, so they should be free from this corruption… except, Supreme Court Justices are still people, and people love money. Money talks, and justice is blind, not deaf. The Supreme Court has ruled in favor of parties with direct financial connections to various Justices in the past, and it won’t stop anytime soon.

So, what can you do? Make money. Make lots and lots of money. No one cares how you get it… it could be from bootlegging, or selling defective medical equipment for premature babies, or stuffing poisonous insulation into every public school… don’t worry about how you become rich, the important thing is being rich.

Once you have amassed millions, then you too can make a difference. Show up to meals that cost $20,000 a plate and let you shake hands with the President. Give a few insider tips on how you plan to tank your company so that some important Senators can short-sell your stock and make a fortune, then have them bail you out with taxpayer money for the privilege. Give the wives of some federal judges a job on your board of directors (now your board even meets “diversity” standards!).

The world really opens up for you when you’re rich, and the only person holding you back from all this success is you… and your morals, and your lack of connections, and your pathetic pedigree, and that faint smell of feet that follows you everywhere. Know your place, plebian.

America truly has the best government that money can buy.
Jan 30
Atheist Tattoo | Unreasonable Faith
It's an interesting juxtaposition of �bold, out-of-the-closet statement� and �I'm an atheist hiding-in-plain-sight.� That the message is not easy to see is one of the things I like about it, aesthetically, but I don't like the notion of ...
Jan 30
Monday Rule: Hard Work
Some wealthy people acquire their money through hard work, though never their own. No one becomes successful until they get a job that credits them for the hard work of others. Those who have worked hard for everything they have are all poor. Hard work isn’t a bad thing, it’s just that the best that you can hope for from working hard is to acquire an easy job that pays well.
Jan 30
Three Little Wives of Newt


thanks to OldTimePatriot
Jan 30
Are Republicans Really for Smaller Government?
Jan 30
From Attenborough to Alain de Botton, the faithless are rejecting the shrill atheism of Dawkins

There's something divine in the air. Agnostics and atheists are beginning to nod respectfully in the direction of the Almighty, while still, of course, maintaining that He's not there.

Jan 30
The Limits Of Tradition
Mano Singham has posted a very brief, but insightful, comment on the limits of tradition.
Jan 30
New York: Heaven for Atheists? – Village Voice (blog)

New York: Heaven for Atheists?
Village Voice (blog)
The Secular Coalition for America -- basically, an atheist-rights group -- has an answer for you. The non-profit recently released its 2011 congressional scorecard -- a study that looks at state reps to see how well they do in representing atheists, ...

and more »
Jan 30
Plan B from Rome
Jan 30
We already have temples to atheism, Mr de Botton – Daily Mail

Daily Mail

We already have temples to atheism, Mr de Botton
Daily Mail
By Alexander Boot The atheist 'philosopher' Alain de Botton has undertaken a (literally) monumental project: he wants to create in the City a 150-foot-high temple to 'new atheism'. This is to distinguish it from old, aggressive atheism, as preached by ...
Alain de Botton puts faith in temples for atheistsTelegraph.co.uk
Writer plans London temple to atheismCatholic Culture
Marketing atheism to the Twin CitiesMinnesota Daily
The Christian Institute -Spiked
all 32 news articles »
Jan 30
The psychic and the guru
A question I frequently am asked is why I care so much about whether people believe weird, irrational, counterfactual stuff.  What does it matter?  How is it harming anyone if someone believes in ______ (fill in the blank with your favorite from amongst the following: astrology, psychics, homeopathy, Bigfoot, aliens, crystal energies, or about a hundred others).

Rather than answer that question directly, let me tell you two stories.  (Sources: The Orlando Sentinel and JREF)

Priti Mahalanobis is a college-educated mother of two who managed her father's business, Shiv Shakti Enterprises, LLC of Orlando, Florida.  Due to the economic downturn, the business had not been doing very well for about two years.  Add this to the fact that Mahalanobis had been experiencing some health problems, and her brother, to whom she was very close, was having marital problems.  Mahalanobis was understandably depressed, anxious, and stressed.

It would not be out of the ordinary for someone in this situation to seek out counseling, and Mahalanobis went to the Meditation and Healing Center in Windermere when she received a coupon for a $20 introductory session with a "spiritual guide."

The guide she met called herself Mrs. Starr, but her real name is Peaches Stevens.  Stevens, after a brief "psychic reading," told Mahalanobis that there was a curse on her family, which could only be lifted with her assistance.  Over the next few months, Mahalanobis went to Stevens repeatedly, purchased a variety of items from her including seven "tabernacles" that were intended to help lift the curse, and performed a variety of rituals under Stevens' direction.  Stevens reportedly told Mahalanobis that the cure for the curse would be costly, but that the price of leaving it in place would be a dreadful toll on herself and her family.

Mahalanobis opened several new credit cards, sold as many personal items as she could manage without her husband knowing (including a reported $65,000 worth of jewelry), and all told ended up giving over $135,000 to Stevens for her curse-removal services.  By this time, she had put herself into hock up to her eyeballs, her father's business had folded, and she had to find work part time in a school cafeteria to make enough to live on.

She did, however, finally recognize that something was amiss, and hired a private investigator to look into Stevens.  With the information from the investigation, police were finally able to arrest Stevens for fraud last week.

"I learned a lot," said Mahalanobis.  "Not to let fear or guilt control you or your actions.  Also, listen to your gut, your instinct, that little voice in the back of your head.  Because your mind can fool you."


Someone should have given that same advice to Chantale Lavigne, a Québecois woman who followed a self-help guru named Gabrielle Frechette.  Frechette runs seminars and gives advice on life, health, and spirituality, and claims to be able to channel the biblical figure Melchisedek.  According to sources, Frechette has quite a commanding presence and an "air of authority."

Last week, Frechette was running a session called "Dying in Consciousness," and Chantale Lavigne was one of her "students."  As part of the session, the participants were supposed to allow themselves to be covered with mud, wrapped in plastic, and have their heads placed inside cardboard boxes with instructions to hyperventilate.  They were told that they had to remain motionless in this situation...

... for nine hours.

When Lavigne was removed from her mud and plastic cocoon, she was unconscious, and only at that point did Frechette call 911.  When paramedics arrived, her body temperature was 40.5 C (105 F).  She died soon afterwards at a hospital in Drummondville.  Frechette has "denied all responsibility for Lavigne's death."

This is not the first such death from hyperthermia during a quack cure or woo-woo ritual.  Sweat lodges, and overheating to "remove toxins," have become commonplace, and just last year James Arthur Ray was convicted of negligent homicide in the deaths of three participants in his New Age "spiritual warrior" retreat, in which he had encouraged dozens of people (who had paid Ray big bucks for the privilege) to spend hours in an overheated, smoky room in the Arizona desert without drinking any water.  So despite Frechette's denial of responsibility, there is precedent for "gurus" to be found culpable for their followers' deaths -- in the US, at least, and it's to be hoped that Canada will follow suit.


It's easy to say that in both the case of Mahalanobis and Lavigne, they "should have known better."  And in one sense, that's true.  But we live in a culture that celebrates, even encourages, ridiculous beliefs, and in many cases turns them into big business.  Skeptics like James Randi and Michael Shermer are accused of being "narrow-minded" when they call these beliefs what they are -- unscientific, irrational, bogus, potentially dangerous nonsense. 

The question is, why should we handle such beliefs with kid gloves?  Why should we look the other way when psychics are allowed to bilk the public for millions of dollars annually?  Why should homeopathic "cures" be allowed on pharmacy shelves?  Why should the so-called mediums and channelers of the spirits of the dead be on television, raking in money from people made vulnerable by their grief?

Except in a few cases -- such as Ray's case, where deaths occurred and were directly attributable to the influence of a "guru" -- our government has been reluctant to step in.  The only answer that remains, then, is education -- teaching people how to think, giving them a sound backing in the principles of scientific rationality and skepticism.  I'll end with a quote from Carl Sagan, from his wonderful book The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark (which should be required reading in every high school in the world):
If we can't think for ourselves, if we're unwilling to question authority, then we're just putty in the hands of those in power.  But if the citizens are educated and form their own opinions, then those in power work for us.  In every country, we should be teaching our children the scientific method and the reasons for a Bill of Rights.  With it comes a certain decency, humility and community spirit.  In the demon-haunted world that we inhabit by virtue of being human, this may be all that stands between us and the enveloping darkness.

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